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Почему в будущем работа не будет работой - Why jobs of the future won't feel like work

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So there's a lot of valid concern these days
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that our technology is getting so smart
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that we've put ourselves on the path to a jobless future.
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And I think the example of a self-driving car
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is actually the easiest one to see.
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So these are going to be fantastic for all kinds of different reasons.
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But did you know that "driver" is actually the most common job
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in 29 of the 50 US states?
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What's going to happen to these jobs when we're no longer driving our cars
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or cooking our food
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or even diagnosing our own diseases?
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Well, a recent study from Forrester Research
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goes so far to predict that 25 million jobs
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might disappear over the next 10 years.
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To put that in perspective,
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that's three times as many jobs lost in the aftermath of the financial crisis.
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And it's not just blue-collar jobs that are at risk.
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On Wall Street and across Silicon Valley, we are seeing tremendous gains
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in the quality of analysis and decision-making
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because of machine learning.
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So even the smartest, highest-paid people will be affected by this change.
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What's clear is that no matter what your job is,
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at least some, if not all of your work,
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is going to be done by a robot or software in the next few years.
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And that's exactly why people like Mark Zuckerberg and Bill Gates
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are talking about the need for government-funded minimum income levels.
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But if our politicians can't agree on things like health care
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or even school lunches,
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I just don't see a path where they'll find consensus
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on something as big and as expensive as universal basic life income.
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Instead, I think the response needs to be led by us in industry.
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We have to recognize the change that's ahead of us
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and start to design the new kinds of jobs
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that will still be relevant in the age of robotics.
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The good news is that we have faced down and recovered
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two mass extinctions of jobs before.
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From 1870 to 1970,
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the percent of American workers based on farms fell by 90 percent,
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and then again from 1950 to 2010,
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the percent of Americans working in factories
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fell by 75 percent.
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The challenge we face this time, however, is one of time.
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We had a hundred years to move from farms to factories,
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and then 60 years to fully build out a service economy.
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The rate of change today
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suggests that we may only have 10 or 15 years to adjust,
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and if we don't react fast enough,
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that means by the time today's elementary-school students
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are college-aged,
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we could be living in a world that's robotic,
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